A Very Brilliant Enemy

This is a very brilliant enemy. You know, it’s a brilliant enemy. They develop drugs like the antibiotics. You see it. Antibiotics used to solve every problem. Now one of the biggest problems the world has is the germ has gotten so brilliant that the antibiotic can’t keep up with it.

And they’re constantly trying to come up with a new – people go to a hospital and they catch – they go for a heart operation – that’s no problem, but they end up dying from – from problems. You know the problems I’m talking about. There’s a whole genius to it.”
— Donald Trump, April 11, 2020
This seriously scares me. The man so many people look up to for guidance and leadership does obviously not understand the difference between a bacterial infection and a virus. But he is holding press conferences spouting drivel like the above.
Could somebody please do something about this!

Dumb and Dumber and Bill Mitchell’s Tweet

I don’t know who Bill Mitchell is, and from the looks of this tweet, I don’t think I want to know.

https://twitter.com/EvelKneidel/status/1246958811048525824

There are so many things wrong with the statement above:

“losin it” who retweeted this with profanity is right. Who is “we” in this context? And who is Bill Mitchell?

Comparing the systematic, organized, planned murder of 6 million, per the Nazis “undesirable” people, mostly Jews, over several years during World War II with a viral pandemic in 2020 is entirely ludicrous. Despicable even.

Again, who is “we?” And to get the record straight, the Germans did shut down their economy, whether by plan or by default. Perhaps Bill Mitchell should read Rise and Fall of the Third Reich by Shirer – my review here – and see what happened to the German economy during and after the war. It’s 1143 pages though, so it’ll take a bit longer than reading his tweet.

Perhaps Bill Mitchell should read Hungerwinter by Häusser and Maugg – my review here – which describes what happened to the German people after the war, when there was no economy, after their fearless leader first blamed the German people for the loss of the war (they didn’t have the will to win) and then blew his own brains out. That book is only available in German. Not sure if Bill Mitchell could read that.

So his claim about shutting the economy down is wrong, notwithstanding being an outlandish and inappropriate comparison.

Finally, COVID-19 is a virus, not a rogue government. In first world, modern and industrialized countries like Germany, Italy, Spain and the United Kingdom, the virus seems to kill about 10% of those verified to come ill with it (understanding that many are probably unreported). That’s a huge percentage of fatality. In the United States, we have now 340,000 verified cases, that would mean we should expect about 30,000 to 40,000 of those to die, if we follow the same trajectory as Italy.

And here is the kicker: These are the death rates with a still functioning and moderately coping healthcare system.

What does Bill Mitchell think will happen in any country once the sick have no more place to go, when the hospitals simply can’t accept any more patients? Obviously, the death rate will go up. People will just perish in their homes.

Uncounted.

Does Bill Mitchell want an economy, or does he want to live?

I can answer for myself:

I can live without restaurant food, without movies, and without malls for a few weeks, or even a few months, as long as I get to live afterwards.

I am not likely to go to Hobby Lobby when I am dead.

A Celebration of Ignorance

More than ever now, when I watch Trump, he looks completely clueless. I watch him stand next to people at the microphone, eyes shifting back and forth, empty of empathy, bereft of any visible emotion, other than “what do I look like”? When he talks, he says nothing. Gibberish. No encouragement, no consolation, no trace of any plan, no utterance of compassion. He now counts the dead.

It’s a celebration of ignorance.

In 1995, Carl Sagan published The Demon-Haunted World. What a visionary he was. Here is an excerpt:

I have a foreboding of an America in my children’s or grandchildren’s time – when the United States is a service and information economy; when nearly all the key manufacturing industries have slipped away to other countries; when awesome technological powers are in the hands of a very few, and no one representing the public interest can even grasp the issues; when the people have lost the ability to set their own agenda or knowledgeably question those in authority; when, clutching our crystals and nervously consulting our horoscopes, our critical faculties in decline, unable to distinguish between what feels good and what’s true, we slide, almost without noticing, back into superstition and darkness. The dumbing down of America is most evident in the slow decay of substantive content in the enormously influential media, the 30-second sound bites (now down to 10 seconds or less), lowest common denominator programming, credulous presentations on pseudoscience and superstition, but especially a kind of celebration of ignorance.

— Carl Sagan, The Demon-Haunted World

Sorry, Brother, I Don’t Intend to Die

One of my brothers lives in Germany. He is in his mid forties. He is recently posting diatribes on Facebook about not allowing himself to be ordered into quarantine by his government. He says that people have always died. There have been plagues before, there will be purges in the future. He thinks this is nature asserting itself. He should not be subjected to limitations of his freedom. He calls it his imprisonment.

So I made some comments back, stating that the death rate of this bug is way beyond anything we have seen in our lifetimes.

He responds people will always have to die.

I said, tell that to the 61 emergency room doctors who died in Italy just in the last couple of weeks.

He said that some people are just not in good physical shape. Some doctors were chain smokers.

He said that the average age of Germans who died of the virus is over 80.

I am not sure if that’s true, but even if it is, I am over 60, so I am definitely in the lower end of the death range.

Brother, if I had lived 150 years ago I would have died at age 22 on Good Friday in 1979 when my appendix was about to burst. I am still here, more than 40 years later, because the military surgeon at Luke Air Force Base in Arizona knew what he was doing. Just because people always have died does not mean they should die right now, just because some of us can’t handle simple human cooperation and go along with the other seven billion people in the world with common-sense measures.

Sorry, Brother, I don’t Intend to Die.

I am staying home.

Why Did Plague Doctors use Bird Masks?

When the Black Plague ravaged the world in the 1600s, doctors adopted head to toe protective gear. They didn’t know how the plague was transmitted, but they thought is was from evil fumes. The beak had two small holes in the front and was filled with perfume, masking the smell. The costume was completed by the wide brimmed leather hat, a sign of the profession of doctor, and a full waxed gown, including leather leggings and gloves.

The doctors also carried a cane, which was used to keep people at a distance. They used the canes to remove clothing from sick people and even to check their pulse.

People were terrified of the costume since it often was associated with imminent death.

 

John Prine in Critical Condition due to COVID-19

John Prine is one of my favorite singers and songwriters.

He is 72, and a lung cancer survivor. I so hope he makes it through!

https://www.cnn.com/2020/03/29/entertainment/john-prine-coronavirus/index.html

Hello in There – it’s so very appropriate right now:

After posting this, I found Joan Baez sending well wishes to John Prine, using the same song:

104,000 Cases of COVID-19 in the United States

First in the world! Today the United States surpassed China and Italy with the most people infected in the world.

I am getting seriously pissed off at the vapid drivel of some of our political right in the United States that still, to this day, calls this epidemic “blown out of proportion by the leftist media” to hurt Trump.

Tell that to the 46 emergency room doctors dead so far in Italy. Do we really think that people dying in Italy has one hoot to do with the political sentiment in the United States? This virus kills. Period.

Let’s put some numbers into perspective, shall we?

There are now 104,000 confirmed cases in the U.S. That has DOUBLED from three days ago. This means that there were as many cases confirmed since Tuesday in the U.S. as there were in all the months since January. DOUBLE in three days.

1,500 people in the U.S. have died from this so far. That means a mortality rate of 1.5%. And – let’s not forget – this is while the hospitals are still staffed, we still have enough beds and doctors and nurses. How many think will die when there won’t be any ventilators for the sick? Simple arithmetic tells us it will be a lot more, perhaps approaching three or four percent as we have seen in other countries.

I guess we won’t have to wait long. It’s still Friday, March 27th as I write this. Five days from now will be April 1st. If the rate of increase stays where it is now, we’ll have 250,000 sick by then, which is likely going to be above the capacity of the major city hospitals. That’s when the bodies will start piling up. Just five days from now.

The numbers do not lie and the rates of increase do not coincide with the wishes of our incompetent national leadership, and the truth will not set us free. Praying is not helping.

I can only do what makes sense to protect myself and those I come in contact with.

But I can say that I am very tired of people in leadership positions acting like this is a hoax or a hype. People are dying by the hundreds, and we’re just getting started.

Bringing it Back on Easter Sunday

The Dyson Ventilator

There is one man in the world who knows how to move air: James Dyson.

We have a vacuum cleaner with his name on it in our house.

He designed fans with no blades.

Now, in 15 days, he designed a ventilator that can be produced at scale and quickly.

These are the brains we need during times of war and crisis. These are the real heroes.

The Dyson Ventilator article at CNN.com.

An Introvert’s Heaven

Some of us are introverts.

We welcome social distancing. Not having to hug folks when we get together, not having to do small talk at parties or work, not going to crowded events, parties, bars, all the “social places” is making our lives easier.

I am not saying any of this is good – but I don’t mind being relaxed and distanced, and not hurting anyone’s feelings.

Because – some of us are introverts.

A Truly Unifying Catastrophe – 7 Billion Times

I have friends all over the world – being part of a reunion group of foreign exchange students from all over the world. I see postings from far away places, like the Philippines, Australia, South Africa, Chile, Guatemala, all over Europe and many other places.

The story is the same one. In every country, all contact has shut down. No travel, no meetings, no entertainment, no shopping, try to work from home, stay away from crowds and groups, cancel even casual get-togethers with friends and even family.

The whole world is staying at home. The whole world has stopped commerce. The whole world is worried about their jobs, their livelihoods. All 7 billion of us are in this together.

In all previous catastrophes that I remember, it was always localized. A terrible hurricane. An earthquake. A volcano. A war. 9/11. It was always just one country. Others could come to the aid.

Not this time. Everyone in the world has stopped normal life. We cannot even fathom what this will do to the world economy.

I see stories about complaints in Germany about this being overblown. I see stories about complaints in the U.S. that this is a “left plot” to bring down Trump. Really? Tell that to the Italian doctors that are dying trying to save the lives of their countrymen!

We’re all in this together. Hopefully we will learn together on how to address calamities that are truly human, not national. Perhaps, after we call come out of this on the other side, can we then address climate change together?

Perhaps we can learn from this?

This is NOT the Flu – a good summary article

This is NOT the flu. Here is a good article by a blogger-friend Musings from the Chiefio.

He always makes strong scientific points.

20 March 2020 Covid-19 USA 16,000 Cases, Italy 4000 Dead

Geometric Expansion of COVID-19 Cases by Day in the US

Remember a couple of weeks ago? This was the curve we saw in Italy. A couple of weeks ago was March 6, and our government was still denying this is a problem.

Now, I guess, they have figured out this is real, and politics, wishful thinking, and prayer, do not make reality change. This is the curve in the U.S. today, with 19,500 cases, up from a few hundred a couple of weeks ago. The number increases by about 50% a day now. Our curve looks what Italy’s looked like then.

So, if we want to know what will happen, just look to Italy and Iran. That’s what will happen. Those of us with scientific minds, a sense of numbers, and simple algebra knew this weeks ago, but our self-absorbed leadership didn’t want to hear it.

We’re finally recognizing the brutal facts, and wishful thinking isn’t going to fix anything. The term “going viral” suddenly has a whole new meaning.

Now if Trump would just get out of the way, stop opening his mouth, and let the experts lead us, maybe we can all tackle this thing.